CONTENTS: Education for All in India, Enrolment Projections by Arun C. Mehta

EDUCATION FOR ALL IN INDIA ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS

By Arun C. Mehta, Publishers: National Institute of Educational Planning and Administration (NIEPA), New Delhi and Vikash Publishing House Private Limited, 576 Masjid Road, Jangapura, New Delhi - 10014 (INDIA) 1998, price Indian Rs. 335 only (US $ 9)

LIST OF TABLES

Table 4.4 : Official and Projected Enrolment Ratio : All India, 1990-91 to 1992-93

Table 4.5 : Refined Enrolment Ratio at Primary and Upper Primary Levels of Education : All India, 1990-91 to 2008-09

Table 4.6 to 4.19: Projected Enrolment at the Primary and Upper to Primary Levels Different States, Boys and Girls : 1992-93 to 2008-09

Table 4.20 : Values of Constant and Regression Coefficients when Models are Fitted to Enrolment : Primary Level (Boys)

Table 4.21 : Values of Constant and Regression Coefficients when Models are Fitted to Enrolment : Primary Level (Girls)

Table 4.22 : Values of Constant and Regression Coefficients when Models are Fitted to Enrolment : Upper Primary Level (Boys)

Table 4.23 : Values of Constant and Regression Coefficients when Models are Fitted to Enrolment : Upper Primary Level (Girls)

Table 5.1 : Apparent Entry Rate : All India, 1984-85 to 1989-90

Table 5.2 : State-wise Entry Rate : 1989-90 and 1990-91

Table 5.3 : Retention Rates at All India Level : 1964-65 to 1990-91

Table 5.4 : State-wise Retention Rates : 1989-90 and 1990-91

Table 5.5 : Retention and Wastage Rates : All India Level Cohort : 1986-87

Table 5.6 : Promotion, Repetition and Drop-out Rates, Primary Level : Boys, All India

Table 5.7 : Promotion, Repetition and Drop-out Rates, Primary Level : Girls, All India

Table 5.8 : Promotion, Repetition and Drop-out Rates, Upper Primary Level : All India

Table 5.9 : Grade-wise Repetition Rates at Primary Level in Different States, Cohort : 1988-89 and 1989-90

Table 5.10 : Grade-wise Drop-out Rates at Primary Level in Different States, Cohort : 1988-89 and 1989-90

Table 5.11 : Grade-wise Repetition and Drop-out Rates at Upper Primary Level in Different States, Cohort : 1988-89 and 1989-90

Table 5.12 : Projected New Entrants : All India, 1990-91 to 2008-09

Table 5.13 : Projections of Transition Rates : Linear Adjustment, All India: 1995 to 2005

Table 5.14 : Predicted Enrolment at the Primary Level, All India : 1991 to 2001

Table 5.15 : Predicted Enrolment Ratio (Gross) at the Primary Level, All India : 1991 to 2001 (Different Alternatives)

Table 5.16 : Grade-wise Predicted Enrolment at the Primary Level, All India : 1991 to 2001 (Improved Entry and Transition Rates)

Table 5.17 : Projected Growth Rates Required to Achieve Goal of UPE by the Year 2001 : All India

Table 5.18 to 5.32 : Grade-wise Predicted State-wise Enrolment at the to Primary Level, Boys and Girls : 1991 to 2001

Table 5.33 : Projected Enrolment (Grades I-V): All India, 1996-97 to 2008-09

Table 5.34 : State-wise Enrolment Projections (Grades I-V), Different Scenarios

Table 5.15 : Changes Under Different Primary Enrolment Scenarios for the year 2008-09

Table 5.16 : Excess Student Years Provided under Different Primary Enrolment Scenarios to 2008-09 in Fourteen Major States

Table 6.1 : State-wise Likely Year of Achievement of Goal of UPE/UEE (Based

on Trend Analysis)

Table 6.2 : State-wise Entry and Transition Rates Required to Achieve Goal of UPE by year

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 2.1 : Growth of Primary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.2 : Growth of Upper Primary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.3 : Growth of Elementary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.4 : Out-of-School Children, All India : 1993-94

Figure 2.5 : Additional Population Needs to Enroll to Achieve UEE by 2001 : Boys

Figure 2.6 : Additional Population Needs to Enroll to Achieve UEE by 2001 : Girls

Figure 4.1 : Projected Enrolment and Age-Specific Population: Primary Level, All India : 1994 to 2009

Figure 4.2 : Projected Enrolment and Age-Specific Population: Upper Primary Level, All India

Figure 4.3 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Primary Level

Figure 4.4 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Upper Primary Level

Figure 4.5 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Boys

Figure 4.6 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Girls

Figure 5.1 : Entry Rates : All India, 1985 to 1991

Figure 5.2 : State-wise Entry Rates : 1990-91

Figure 5.3 : Retention Rates : All India, 1964-65 to 1989-90

Figure 5.4 : State-wise Retention Rates : 1990-91

Figure 5.5 : Drop-out Rate in Grade I : All India, 1985 to 1990

Figure 5.6 : State-wise Drop-out Rate in Grade I : 1989-90

Figure 5.7 : Projected Enrolment Ratio : All India, 1991 to 2001

Figure 5.8 : Enrolment Required to Achieve UPE from 1994 Level : All India
EDUCATION FOR ALL IN INDIA

EDUCATION FOR ALL IN INDIA ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS

LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 2.1 : Growth of Primary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.2 : Growth of Upper Primary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.3 : Growth of Elementary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.4 : Out-of-School Children, All India : 1993-94

Figure 2.5 : Additional Population Needs to Enroll to Achieve UEE by 2001 : Boys

Figure 2.6 : Additional Population Needs to Enroll to Achieve UEE by 2001 : Girls

Figure 4.1 : Projected Enrolment and Age-Specific Population: Primary Level, All India : 1994 to 2009

Figure 4.2 : Projected Enrolment and Age-Specific Population: Upper Primary Level, All India

Figure 4.3 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Primary Level

Figure 4.4 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Upper Primary Level

Figure 4.5 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Boys

Figure 4.6 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Girls

Figure 5.1 : Entry Rates : All India, 1985 to 1991

Figure 5.2 : State-wise Entry Rates : 1990-91

Figure 5.3 : Retention Rates : All India, 1964-65 to 1989-90

Figure 5.4 : State-wise Retention Rates : 1990-91

Figure 5.5 : Drop-out Rate in Grade I : All India, 1985 to 1990

Figure 5.6 : State-wise Drop-out Rate in Grade I : 1989-90

Figure 5.7 : Projected Enrolment Ratio : All India, 1991 to 2001

Figure 5.8 : Enrolment Required to Achieve UPE from 1994 Level : All India
EDUCATION FOR ALL IN INDIA

EDUCATION FOR ALL IN INDIA ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS

LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1 : Growth of Primary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.2 : Growth of Upper Primary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.3 : Growth of Elementary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 2.4 : Out-of-School Children, All India : 1993-94

Figure 2.5 : Additional Population Needs to Enroll to Achieve UEE by 2001 : Boys

Figure 2.6 : Additional Population Needs to Enroll to Achieve UEE by 2001 : Girls

Figure 4.1 : Projected Enrolment and Age-Specific Population: Primary Level, All India : 1994 to 2009

Figure 4.2 : Projected Enrolment and Age-Specific Population: Upper Primary Level, All India

Figure 4.3 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Primary Level

Figure 4.4 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Upper Primary Level

Figure 4.5 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Boys

Figure 4.6 : State-wise Enrolment Ratio : 2001, Girls

Figure 5.1 : Entry Rates : All India, 1985 to 1991

Figure 5.2 : State-wise Entry Rates : 1990-91

Figure 5.3 : Retention Rates : All India, 1964-65 to 1989-90

Figure 5.4 : State-wise Retention Rates : 1990-91

Figure 5.5 : Drop-out Rate in Grade I : All India, 1985 to 1990

Figure 5.6 : State-wise Drop-out Rate in Grade I : 1989-90

Figure 5.7 : Projected Enrolment Ratio : All India, 1991 to 2001

Figure 5.8 : Enrolment Required to Achieve UPE from 1994 Level : All India EDUCATION FOR ALL IN INDIA

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 2.1 : Growth of Primary Enrolment, All India : 1951 to 1994

Figure 5.8 : Enrolment Required to Achieve UPE from 1994 Level : All India
EDUCATION FOR ALL IN INDIA